Anti-tobacco routinely dazzles the media and gullible politicians with its enumeration of deaths caused by smoking and exposure to secondhand smoke.

The anti-tobacco con artists slice and dice the death toll totals in any number of ways to bolster their particular segment of the racket, often producing an amazingly precise number that screams verisimilitude. We recently commented on a hyperactive grifter who proclaims that exactly 1,771 nonsmoking casino workers will die in Pennsylvania in precisely 40 years. His ludicrous "study" was reported with a straight face by the media.

It may be too much to hope for but the lackadaisical media coverage of all matters concerning health may undergo a shake up due to the United Nations’ red-faced admission that it has outrageously overestimated both the size and the course of the AIDS epidemic. Instead of the 40 million people the U.N. claimed were infected with HIV the figure has been revised downward by 7 million. The number of annual new infections has been cut by 40 percent.

What’s not mentioned in this story from the Washington Post is that AIDS and HIV are real, namely that HIV is a real virus that causes the real syndrome known as AIDS. The number of AIDS cases and the number of those with HIV in their system can be quantified. Accuracy as to a count of these real conditions is not an unwarranted expectation from an organization that proclaims itself an oracle on the state of the world’s health yet the actual numbers reported by the U.N. is revealed to be woefully unreliable.

Member nations should ask themselves why the U.N. and its adjunct, the World Health Organization, should be trusted to impart accurate information on any condition. If it can’t count real things, how can it estimate the death toll from one innocuous activity that may contribute to conditions that by definition are caused by thousands of factors. HIV is a pre-requisite for AIDS. That is a scientific fact. So-called smoking related diseases occur in populations that have never smoked or been exposed to secondhand smoke.

Obviously tobacco cannot, unlike HIV leading to AIDS, be the cause of all such diseases yet the U.N., guided by its partners, which include the multi-national pharmaceutical corporations, continues to predict the precise number of people who will be killed by smoking. Public Health entities throughout the globe follow suit with governments enacting tobacco policies based on absolutely nothing. Why the hysteria and wild prognostications of death?

"There was a tendency toward alarmism, and that fit perhaps a certain fund raising agenda," says one critic of the U.N. and its deplorable tendency to beef up AIDS numbers to effect a financial and political goal. We now have proof that Big Health is lying about AIDS, just like it has done about "smoking related" disease and death.

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